IPC — Association Connecting Electronics Industries® announced today the January findings from its monthly North American Printed Circuit Board (PCB) Statistical Program. Despite sluggish sales and orders in January, the positive book-to-bill ratios of the past four months indicate sales growth in the first half of 2015.
Total North American PCB shipments decreased 2.0 percent in January 2015 from January 2014. Compared to the previous month, PCB shipments were down 11.6 percent.
PCB bookings decreased by 2.9 percent compared to January 2014. Orders declined 6.8 percent in January compared to the previous month.
The North American PCB book-to-bill ratio decreased but remained positive at 1.01 in January.
“January 2015 PCB business in North America was down slightly from January 2014, but the book-to-bill ratio and other leading indicators continue to offer hope of some renewed growth in 2015,” said Sharon Starr, IPC’s director of market research.
Detailed Data Available
The next edition of IPC’s North American PCB Market Report, containing detailed January data from IPC’s PCB Statistical Program, will be available the week of March 9, 2015. The monthly report presents detailed findings on rigid PCB and flexible circuit sales and orders, including separate rigid and flex book-to-bill ratios, military and medical market growth, demand for prototypes, and other timely data. This report is available free to current participants in IPC’s PCB Statistical Program and by subscription to others. More information about this report can be found at www.ipc.org/market-research-reports.
Interpreting the Data
The book-to-bill ratios are calculated by dividing the value of orders booked over the past three months by the value of sales billed during the same period from companies in IPC’s survey sample. A ratio of more than 1.00 suggests that current demand is ahead of supply, which is a positive indicator for sales growth over the next three to six months. A ratio of less than 1.00 indicates the reverse.
Year-on-year and year-to-date growth rates provide the most meaningful view of industry growth. Month-to-month comparisons should be made with caution as they reflect seasonal effects and short-term volatility. Because bookings tend to be more volatile than shipments, changes in the book-to-bill ratios from month to month might not be significant unless a trend of more than three consecutive months is apparent. It is also important to consider changes in both bookings and shipments to understand what is driving changes in the book-to-bill ratio.
IPC’s monthly PCB industry statistics are based on data provided by a representative sample of both rigid PCB and flexible circuit manufacturers selling in the USA and Canada. IPC publishes the PCB book-to-bill ratio at the end of each month. Statistics for the current month are available in the last week of the following month.